Grain imports mainly come from Russia and are in fact not officially recorded, since importers are not interested in paying VAT on imports and also want to benefit from preferential railway tariffs for export shipments.
Grain production accounting is based on declarative reporting forms, allowing inaccuracies due to the absence of verification procedures.
Grain storage accounting is divided between the digital accounting of the grain receipts registrar at licensed elevators with 12 million tons of storage capacity and state statistics accounting at unlicensed warehouses with a total storage capacity of about 16 million tons.
The digital accounting of the registrar is more reliable compared to statistical accounting at unlicensed warehouses, as it provides format-logical control procedures during data entry and also creates and keeps “digital traces” for subsequent verification.
Grain processing accounting is also done by state statistics and is declarative in nature.
Accounting of grain exports is based on railway carrier data and the State Revenue Committee of the Ministry of Finance of Kazakhstan and is the most reliable.
Reliability issues in accounting at each stage of grain turnover ultimately accumulate into the general problem of unreliable statistical grain turnover accounting in the country.
As a result, the Government of Kazakhstan does not have the data necessary to ensure food security.
According to preliminary estimates by the Union of Grain Producers of Kazakhstan, the shadow grain market amounts to about 9 billion tenge annually.
The introduction of grain and flour export bans and quotas in spring 2020 created many disputes regarding the justification for such restrictions. In fact, the Ministry of Agriculture of Kazakhstan cannot substantiate such decisions with precise figures.
Most market participants consider the ban unjustified and excessive. As a result, many traders failed to fulfill export contracts and were forced to return advance payments.
All market participants unanimously agree on the need to create a reliable grain accounting system that would ensure the grain market operates on civilized and predictable grounds.